Analytiker har alltid haft fel om solenergins uppväxling. Auke Hoekstra har belyst detta om och om och om igen.
Februari 2023
The IEA continues to underestimate solar and the discrepancy remains stunning. The first time I conceived of this visualization in 2010 or so, I expected it to be a temporary anomaly. But reality continues to outpace predictions.
Auke Hoekstra
Maybe you think: this can’t possibly be true! If so you are not alone. But it goes back to the first IEA PV predictions from 2002. Here’s a blogpost where I explain how and why I made this graph. (And yes, that’s my younger self, minus the beard.)
Auke Hoekstra
Why the underestimation? Maybe because fuel is burned and lost, while the solar industry produces an exponentially growing number of devices that each produce energy for 20-40 years. Here’s a blog with many more of my speculations:
Auke Hoekstra
And before you go: “but the wind doesn’t always blow and the sun doesn’t always shine” We know! But you can still make a 100% renewable energy system work like a cost-effective charm, as hundreds of researchers have shown by now.
Auke Hoekstra
och avslutningsvis,👇🏽 idag 👇🏽👇🏽
Nice “new” visualization of solar growth versus predictions 😉
